Dear Reader,
The days after Christmas often bring a familiar cocktail: thinner trading, bigger intraday swings, and louder narratives about what the market “should” do next. This week, stocks lifted and Treasury yields edged down as investors responded to softer inflation signals, a move captured in a late-December global markets wrap by Reuters.
What’s happening is straightforward: year-end price action can be noisy, but the rules for building and protecting wealth don’t change with the calendar.
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Why This Matters
Inflation and interest rates still sit at the center of the investing equation. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported November 2025 CPI results on December 18, and markets reacted quickly—because inflation data shapes expectations for the Federal Reserve and, in turn, stock and bond valuations.
For everyday investors and retirees, this matters because short-term rallies (or pullbacks) can tempt people to abandon a plan at exactly the wrong time. In plain terms: chasing a “year-end run” after prices jump can mean buying high, and panic-selling after a bad week can mean locking in losses.
Discipline is not about ignoring the news. It’s about refusing to let a single week of headlines override a long-term strategy built around diversification, quality, and cash flow.
Where Things Stand
Investors are still debating whether late-December strength becomes a true year-end lift. Reuters noted on December 19 that many market participants are watching for a “Santa rally” to cap a strong year, but the same reporting underscores an important point: hope is not a strategy, and seasonality is not a guarantee.
Meanwhile, yields remain meaningfully higher than the ultra-low-rate era, which changes the math for portfolios. The U.S. Treasury’s Interest Rate Statistics provide the daily rate series investors can use to track that reality in real time. Higher yields can be a tailwind for savers and income investors—but they also raise the bar for stock valuations and leverage-heavy business models.
The Patriot Perspective
Year-end volatility is a test of behavior, not intelligence. The disciplined investor doesn’t trade the calendar—he manages risk, keeps diversification intact, and focuses on businesses and bonds with durable cash flow and conservative balance sheets.
Stay steady,
Kenneth Boyd
Author, Finance Writer, Former Investment Advisor & CPA
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